Today’s Market View – Sandfire Resources Ltd, Lynas Rare Earths, Eurasia Mining and more…

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Eurasia Mining* (LON:EUA) 23.12p, Mkt Cap £660m – Update on hydrogen/ammonia strategy and new presentation

(NKT is held within TGK, Eurasia’s 80% owned subsidiary operating in Kola, Russia)

Eurasia Mining have today published an update on their hydrogen and ammonia strategy.

SP Angel . Morning View . Thursday 30 12 21

Lithium carbonate breaks over US$40,000/t in China

 

Australian Vanadium (Australian Vanadium Ltd (ASX:AVL)) – Subsidiary to build VRFB at Water corporation site

Boliden AB (LON:BOL) – Nickel production halted at Harjavalta due to explosion

Eurasia Mining* (Eurasia Mining PLC (AIM:EUA)) – Update on hydrogen/ammonia strategy and new presentation

Lynas Rare Earths (Lynas Corporation (ASX:LYC)) – Environmental approval for Malaysian disposal facility

Sandfire Resources (Sandfire Resources NL (ASX:SFR)) – Spanish government grants Sandfire Resources approval for MATSA acquisition

 

IGTV: IG Outlook 2022, 23/12/21:: https://youtu.be/4w7nbjRdFyk

interactive Investors: FTSE 100 favourite stock: https://youtu.be/BomNRQJt-YA

2022 outlook: https://youtu.be/SxMPiPEc_Rg

Three small-cap mining share tips for 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9xvA_3UXXYQ&ab_channel=interactiveinvestor

VOX Markets: 08/12/21: https://audioboom.com/posts/7993202- china-economy-plus-bluejay-centamin-cornish-metals

*SP Angel almost invariably acts as nomad or broker or nomad and broker to companies mentioned in the above videos and podcasts.

We speak more about these companies as we have a good understanding of their business and can talk with a greater degree of confidence. As ever, however, it should be noted that our views do not take into account the circumstances and needs of any particular investor or investor type. So enjoy the talks, but please do your own research, including other companies not mentioned by us but operating in the same areas, and get professional advice where appropriate.

 

Dow Jones Industrials +0.25% at 36,489

Nikkei 225 -0.40% at 28,792

HK Hang Seng +0.07% at 23,102

Shanghai Composite +0.62% at 3,619

   

Economics

China – Beijing announces plans to boost consumption rebound, foreign trade and investment growth in 2022

China’s Ministry of Commerce announced plans to shore up the country’s economy in 2022.

This will entail ensuring ‘consistency in policies while unleashing new policy measures combining cross-cyclical and countercyclical adjustments.’ (People’s Daily)

Focus will be on small/medium-sized enterprises alongside securing the domestic market and supply chain.

High-quality development will be pushed alongside expanding China’s domestic market, including domestic brands.

Evergrande misses new coupon payment despite ‘explosive growth’ in property deliveries

Bondholders have reported no sign of payment on $255m worth of Evergrande coupons due yesterday. (Reuters)

Shares in Evergrande fell an additional 9.7% having climbed after the chairman announced plans to deliver 39k units in December vs 10k in each of Sept, Oct, Nov.

The company announced it is seeing ‘explosive growth’ in property deliveries this week.

Evergrande claims in has delivered 6,022 apartments across 5 secondary cities since Dec. 7th.

The company stated this morning that 91.7% of its projects have resumed construction.

Beijing has stepped up fiscal efforts to support the ailing developers, with the PBOC encouraging banks to grant M&A loans to the sector to boost the financing environment.

 

US/China – US secretary of State urges China to stop targeting Hong Kong journalists

US Sec. of State Antony Blinken urged Chinese authorities a day after the biggest remaining pro-democracy news organisation was shut down.

More than 200 police raided Stand News’s newsroom and froze $7.8m of assets and arrested people.

Blinken said in a statement: “cease targeting Hong Kong’s free and independent media and to immediately release those journalists and media executives who have been unjustly detained and charged”

 

US sees record number of new Covid cases as Omicron variant surges

The US saw a pandemic record of 265,427 cases on Tuesday, (Johns Hopkins University/WSJ)

Cases increased by 60% this week.

The 7-day avergage of hospitalizations hit 77,840 – up 14% over the past fortnight.

ICU units are reporting short-staffing issues with employees falling ill, forcing some to close.

 

UK – Expect ongoing logistic and other disruption as the UK reports a rise of 53,000 Covid cases to a new record at 183,037 today

The level of Covid sickness has risen 41.4% over the past seven days (Reuters).

The British government is allowing New Years celebrations to continue.

The policy is likely to see much higher levels of infection into the new year.

Reports indicate that up to 90% of intensive care Covid patients have not received a booster vaccine.

We expect increasing disruption to travel and logistics as staff self-isolate or take time to recover from Covid.

 

UK – House prices rise at fastest pace since 2006 this year

Prices rose at an annual rate of 10.4% in December, making the calendar year performance the strongest since 2006, according to Nationwide.

The price of a typical UK home rose to a record high of £254,822, up £23,902 over the year, the largest rise recorded in a single year in cash terms.

 

Zambia – inflation falls to 14-month low (Bloomberg)

Food price inflation in Zamia fell to a 13-month low of 19.9% in December vs 25.4% yoy in November.

Non-food inflation fell to 12.1% from 12.2%.

 

Indonesia – China Nonferrous Metal wins $354m copper smelting contract

China nonferrous has won a contract to build facilities for a copper smelting plant in Indonesia, the company reports.

The company will construct a water intake facility and other related facilities for PT Amman Mineral International’s planned smelter with an estimated annual processing capacity of 900kt of copper concentrate.

 

Peru – Las Bambas dispute remains far from agreement, government source admits

A community advisor and government source have told Reuters a deal at MMG’s Las Bambas mine with protestors is still far away.

The Chumbivilcas has blocked a key copper transport route for over a month.

Las Bambas shut production on 18th December at the mine which supplies 2% of the world’s copper and 1% of Peru’s GDP.

The government are expected to reveal proposal details today.

 

 

Russian government body suspects MMK, NLMK and Severstal to have broken antimonopoly laws

The Russian Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) ruled that Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works (MMK), Novolipetsk Steel (NLMK) and Severstal had broken antimonopoly laws.

The 3 companies are accused of setting and maintaining ‘monopolistic’ prices for hot-rolled flat products in Russia’s domestic market.

The defendants have been asked to submit evidence and arguments in explanation.

MMK’s revenue has increased 86.5% this year, NLMK’s revenue up 69%, Severstal’s revenue up 63%.

The three companies dominate Russia’s ferrous metallurgy industry.

 

Currencies

US$1.1310/eur vs 1.1287/eur yesterday. Yen 115.16/$ vs 114.96/$. SAr 15.960/$ vs 15.744/$.          $1.347/gbp vs $1.342/gbp. 0.726/aud vs 0.723/aud. CNY 6.373/$ vs 6.372/$.

 

Commodity News

Precious metals:  

Gold US$1,800/oz vs US$1,803/oz yesterday

Gold ETFs 97.8moz vs US$97.7moz yesterday

Platinum US$969/oz vs US$972/oz yesterday

Palladium US$1,963/oz vs US$1,985/oz yesterday

Silver US$22.67/oz vs US$23.12/oz yesterday

Rhodium US$14,100/oz vs US$14,100/oz yesterday

 

Base metals:  

Copper US$ 9,675/t vs US$9,668/t yesterday

Aluminium US$ 2,820/t vs US$2,813/t yesterday

Nickel US$ 20,450/t vs US$20,230/t yesterday

Zinc US$ 3,516/t vs US$3,502/t yesterday

Lead US$ 2,295/t vs US$2,291/t yesterday

Tin US$ 39,030/t vs US$39,200/t yesterday

 

Energy:           

Oil US$79.0/bbl vs US$79.4/bbl yesterday

Natural Gas US$3.906/mmbtu vs US$4.166/mmbtu yesterday

Uranium UXC US$43.70/lb vs $43.95/lb yesterday

 

Bulk:

Iron ore 62% Fe spot (cfr Tianjin) US$119.5/t vs US$118.3/t

Chinese steel rebar 25mm US$741.6/t vs US$743.8/t

Thermal coal (1st year forward cif ARA) US$123.0/t vs US$123.0/tThermal coal swap Australia FOB US$156.8/t vs US$171.5/t

Coking coal swap Australia FOB US$352.0/t vs US$352.0/t

 

Other: 

Cobalt LME 3m US$70,500/t vs US$70,500/t

NdPr Rare Earth Oxide (China) US$132,039/t vs US$131,443/t

Lithium carbonate 99% (China) US$40,404/t vs US$39,629/t

China Spodumene Li2O 5%min CIF US$2,560/t vs US$2,510/t

Ferro-Manganese European Mn78% min US$1,804/t vs US$1,800/t

China Tungsten APT 88.5% FOB US$315/t vs US$315/t

China Graphite Flake -194 FOB US$805/t vs US$805/t

Europe Vanadium Pentoxide 98% 8.7/lb vs US$8.7/lb

Europe Ferro-Vanadium 80% 32.75/kg vs US$32.75/kg

China Ilmenite Concentrate TiO2 US$384/t vs US$384/t

Spot CO2 Emissions EUA Price US$83.3/t vs US$83.1/t

 

Battery News

Northvolt produces Europe’s first Lithium-Ion battery cell

Northvolt has developed its first lithium-ion battery cell at its new Gigafactory in Sweden.

The company plans to ship Li-ion cells to EV manufacturers next year under $30bn of contracts with European customers including BMW, VW and Volvo.

VW has a 20% stake in Northvolt and ordered $14bn worth of batteries for the next decade.

Northvolt will need to ensure rigorous manufacturing and raw material quality to ensure its Li-ion cells are safe and robust for automotive use.

 

Company News

Australian Vanadium (Australian Vanadium Ltd (ASX:AVL)) A$0.03, A$98m – Subsidiary to build VRFB at Water corporation site

Australian Vanadium (AVL) has announced that its wholly owned subsidiary VSUN Energy will build a 5kW/30kWh vanadium redox flow battery for trial usage at Water Corporation’s innovation hub in Shenton Park, Western Australia.

Water Corporation is owned by the Western Australian Government and is the state’s primary provider of water, wastewater, drainage, and bulk irrigation services.

Vanadium flow batteries consist of two tanks of liquid, which simply sit there until needed. The two solutions flow adjacent to each other past a membrane, and this type of battery can offer almost unlimited energy capacity simply by using larger electrolyte storage tanks. It can be left completely discharged for long periods with no ill effects, making maintenance simpler than other batteries.

V-flow batteries outcompete Li-ion, and any other solid battery, for utility-scale applications. They’re just safer, more scalable, longer-lasting and cheaper – less than half the cost per kWh.

The VRFB will first be tested on a transportable water purification unit, supplying 100% renewable power to the system through a solar PV and VRFB standalone power system.

VSUN Energy will collaborate with Water Corporation to test, gather data, and give appropriate solutions for potential future use cases for VRFBs across Water Corporation’s activities.

AVL comment that VRFB could be used to aid pumping applications and for supplying power to remote off-grid energy loads, currently powered by diesel generators.

Water Corporation will get the battery free of charge for the period of the trial, with the option to purchase at Water Corporation’s choice.

 

Boliden AB (LON:BOL) 353SEK, Mkt Cap 96.5bn SEK – Nickel production halted at Harjavalta due to explosion

Boliden reports that nickel production at the Harjavalta smelter has been stopped due to a slag explosion that was the result of a process malfunction in the nickel electric furnace slag tapping system on December 24. 

The smelter is the only nickel smelter in Western Europe, producing nickel matte while having amongst the lowest sulphur dioxide emissions per produced tonne of nickel compared to other nickel smelters around the world.

In 2020, the smelter produced 146kt of copper and 25kt of nickel.

Nobody was injured as a result of the explosion, and the main damage was to the mechanical construction and the slag tapping system.

Production in the nickel line has been stopped and is estimated to be offline until mid-January. 

Current estimates on the impact on EBIT due to the lost production and repair costs is 100M SEK (~£8.2m).

 

Eurasia Mining* (Eurasia Mining PLC (AIM:EUA)) 23.12p, Mkt Cap £660m – Update on hydrogen/ammonia strategy and new presentation

(NKT is held within TGK, Eurasia’s 80% owned subsidiary operating in Kola, Russia)

Eurasia Mining have today published an update on their hydrogen and ammonia strategy.

The strategy update follows on from the opening of Eurasia’s Japan office and the appointment of director Tamerlan Abdikeev.

Eurasia reports it has identified opportunities in hydrogen/ammonia production to complement its platinum group metals mining business in Russia.

The production of hydrogen / ammonia offers significant potential synergies for the mining business through the use of hydrogen to run equipment and low cost power which is available in the Kola region.

Eurasia has signed an agreement with H4Energy a Russian engineering and development company which specialises in hydrogen and ammonia projects in relation to establishing a joint venture with to develop hydrogen / ammonia projects in Kola and Sakhalin.

“Support for the development of the Projects on the Federal level secured from the Deputy Prime Minister of Russia / Presidential Envoy to the Far Eastern Federal District”

“Pre-investment feasibility study reports prepared for Eurasia and H4Energy and reviewed by independent technical experts, including financial models and sensitivity analyses”

“Agreement signed with State Far East and Arctic Development Corporation (ERDC) to assist with the procurement of land and energy supplies in relation to both the Kola and Sakhalin hydrogen / ammonia projects”

Eurasia and H4Energy are in the process of negotiating energy supply agreements with regional energy suppliers with “several off-take agreements being discussed including own use of hydrogen for the Company’s mining equipment for the Kola operations”

“Project finance plan being developed further to ongoing discussions with Asian investors.”

Further details are available in the company presentation on their hydrogen strategy posted today.

Slide 8 highlights the key points achieved so far in Eurasia’s green hydrogen and ammonia strategy.

https://www.eurasiamining.co.uk/investors/presentations

Conclusion: Eurasia appears to be utilising its contacts and presence in the Kola region of Russia to gain options on land and low-cost hydro power ($0.0/kwh) with ~1GW of spare capacity for the generation of hydrogen and ammonia in the region. The joint venture partner includes a team of ex Shell hydrogen professionals. The potential sites benefit from access to the port of Murmansk for the shipment of hydrogen to the West.

*SP Angel act as Nomad and Broker to Eurasia Mining

 

Lynas Rare Earths (Lynas Corporation (ASX:LYC)) A$10.3, Mkt cap A$9.3bn – Environmental approval for Malaysian disposal facility

Lynas has received environmental approval form Malaysia on its permanent disposal facility for water leach purification, the company reports.

The miner says it has completed detailed assessments for the disposal of low-level radioactive waste from Lynas’ Malaysia plant.

The issue of waste disposal has been a sticking point for the project and identifying a location for the permanent disposal facility was part of the requirements set by the country’s government when it renewed the company’s licence to operate in Malaysia early last year.

 

Sandfire Resources Ltd, SFR AU, A$6.65, Mkt Cap A$2.73bn – Spanish government grants Sandfire Resources approval for MATSA acquisition

Sandfire’s US$1.86bn acquisition proposal for the MATSA mining complex in Spain has been approved by the Spanish government.

The company expects the transaction to be completed on or around Jan. 31st, 2022.

MATSA is a large-scale underground copper asset hosting 3 underground mining operations.

The complex feeds into a 4.7mt pa central processing facility.

Sandfire expects the combination of MATSA with its DeGrussa Operation to produce 194kt of copper equivalent in FY2022.

 

No.1 in Copper:  “The winner of the 2020 Fastmarkets Apex contest for copper was the team at SP Angel comprising John Meyer, Sergey Raevskiy and Simon Beardsmore, with an  accuracy score of 93.8%”

No1. In Gold:  “SP Angel’s trio took the top spot for the gold price prediction throughout the year, with an accuracy score of 97.59%”

The SP Angel team also ranked 1st in Palladium, 3rd in Tin and 5th in Silver in the fourth quarter of 2020

 

Analysts

John Meyer – John.Meyer@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0490

Simon Beardsmore – Simon.Beardsmore@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0484

Sergey Raevskiy –Sergey.Raevskiy@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0474

Joe Rowbottom – Joe.Rowbottom@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0486

 

Sales

Richard Parlons –Richard.Parlons@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0472

Abigail Wayne – Abigail.Wayne@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0534

Rob Rees – Rob.Rees@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0535

Grant Barker – Grant.Barker@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0471

 

 

SP Angel                                                            

Prince Frederick House

35-39 Maddox Street London

W1S 2PP

 

*SP Angel are the No1 integrated nomad and broker by number of mining brokerage clients on AIM according to the AIM Advisers Ranking Guide (joint brokerships excluded)

+SP Angel employees may have previously held, or currently hold, shares in the companies mentioned in this note.

 

Sources of commodity prices

Gold, Platinum, Palladium, Silver

BGNL (Bloomberg Generic Composite rate, London)

Gold ETFs, Steel

Bloomberg

Copper, Aluminium, Nickel, Zinc, Lead, Tin, Cobalt

LME

Oil Brent

ICE

Natural Gas, Uranium, Iron Ore

NYMEX

Thermal Coal

Bloomberg OTC Composite

Coking Coal

SSY

RRE

Steelhome

Lithium Carbonate, Ferro Vanadium, Tungsten, Spodumene, Ferro-Manganese, Graphite

Asian Metal

 

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